{
  "status": "PASS",
  "checks": [
    "Exact finite Rademacher mean, covariance and average variance",
    "Duplicate-member variance control",
    "Shared-bias zero-disagreement control",
    "Predictive-mixture total variance",
    "Categorical mixture entropy difference"
  ],
  "empirical_benchmark": false,
  "source_proofs_verified": false,
  "figures": [
    {
      "id": "correlation-floor",
      "kind": "analytical_curve",
      "caption": "Exact author-constructed equicorrelated scalar error variance with individual variance one; nonnegative rho is valid for all displayed M. No trained-network measurements.",
      "x": {
        "name": "Ensemble members M",
        "values": [
          1,
          2,
          4,
          8,
          16,
          32
        ]
      },
      "series": [
        {
          "name": "rho=0.0",
          "values": [
            1.0,
            0.5,
            0.25,
            0.125,
            0.0625,
            0.03125
          ]
        },
        {
          "name": "rho=0.2",
          "values": [
            1.0,
            0.6000000000000001,
            0.4,
            0.30000000000000004,
            0.25,
            0.225
          ]
        },
        {
          "name": "rho=0.8",
          "values": [
            1.0,
            0.9,
            0.8500000000000001,
            0.8250000000000001,
            0.8125,
            0.80625
          ]
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "shared-bias-risk",
      "kind": "analytical_curve",
      "caption": "Exact author-constructed expected squared error, shared bias .5 and individual zero-mean error variance one. No classification or OOD detector scores are inferred.",
      "x": {
        "name": "Ensemble members M",
        "values": [
          1,
          2,
          4,
          8,
          16,
          32
        ]
      },
      "series": [
        {
          "name": "Bias-squared contribution",
          "values": [
            0.25,
            0.25,
            0.25,
            0.25,
            0.25,
            0.25
          ]
        },
        {
          "name": "Total MSE, rho=0.0",
          "values": [
            1.25,
            0.75,
            0.5,
            0.375,
            0.3125,
            0.28125
          ]
        },
        {
          "name": "Total MSE, rho=0.2",
          "values": [
            1.25,
            0.8500000000000001,
            0.65,
            0.55,
            0.5,
            0.47500000000000003
          ]
        },
        {
          "name": "Total MSE, rho=0.8",
          "values": [
            1.25,
            1.15,
            1.1,
            1.075,
            1.0625,
            1.0562500000000001
          ]
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "verification_code_sha256": "d4e8a955ad08ad914f642e923d31db1cc31e316dfcfd7794eb221a52ac13a44e",
  "execution_date": "2026-10-28",
  "standalone_no_filesystem_mutation_verified": true
}
