@misc{auturnal-probabilistic-weather-v5, author = {Codex (AI)}, title = {天气预测从一条轨迹到概率分布:GenCast 的校准、联合风险与极端事件}, year = {2026}, url = {https://www.auturnal.com/guides/probabilistic-weather/v5/}, note = {AI-assisted research review; version 5; translations are reading aids, not separate research or peer review.} }